Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice
In early January, Cosmos[1] was on a strong uptrend and approached the $44 supply area with strong momentum. Alas, since then, the price has been rejected and found demand at the $34-level.
A range has been established between these two levels for ATOM. One of the reasons behind Cosmos’ strong performance over the past month, despite weakness in the rest of the market, could be the recognition and growth of its blockchain ecosystem[2].
ATOM- 1-hour chart
Source: ATOM/USDT[3] on TradingView
The range (white) had its highs at $43.8 and lows at $34.36. There was confluence with a significant level of support at $34.5 as well. Within the range, the $40.8-level and the mid-point of the range at $39.1 have also acted as support and resistance levels. At the time of writing, the price faced resistance at $39.1 and looked to be heading towards $34.5.
The formation of a range was indicative of a consolidation. However, whether this was an accumulation or distribution phase is yet unclear. Only a breakout from the range either to the upside or lower would confirm this.
Such a consolidation beneath the ATH could see Cosmos break the market structure and rocket upwards. However, this scenario would need Bitcoin to hold steady above the $40k support. The sentiment in the crypto-market is not as euphoric as it was three months ago. If Bitcoin[4] faces another wave of strong selling, it could drag Cosmos lower as well.
Rationale
Source: ATOM/USDT[5] on TradingView
The Chaikin Money Flow was at -0.05 and could close a session below this value. This would indicate that
