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This Week in Bitcoin: Black Swans

It would be an unusual week in bitcoin where there weren’t glum tidings to report, be it an exchange hack, regulatory clampdown, or edict from the east. It just so happens that this week witnessed all three – and on the same day, no less. You could call it bad luck, or you could call the event, which sent bitcoin below $9,000, where it’s flirted ever since, a black swan: a random occurrence that is impossible to predict.

Also read: Anecdotal Reports Suggest Google is Cracking Down on ICO Advertising

A Triumvirate of Black Swans Descend

They say that bad luck comes in threes, and on Wednesday bitcoin was struck by a triple whammy which sent prices tumbling. This perfect storm of negative news came in the form of an SEC statement on unregulated exchanges, reports of Japanese regulators shutting down exchanges, and a major incident at Binance in which compromised user accounts were used to manipulate the price of viacoin. As is often the case, these stories were not as gloomy as the market initially interpreted them.

This Week in Bitcoin: Black SwansThe SEC has been bumping its gums about crypto for weeks, as regulators are wont to do, and there was nothing in its latest report which heralded impending doom for cryptocurrency exchanges. Similarly, it turns out that the Japanese watchdog wasn’t wielding the banhammer indiscriminately; rather it was focusing on a couple of small, unlicensed exchanges whose existence has little bearing on the nation’s cryptocurrency trade. Finally, the Binance incident ended happily, with the fraudulent trades reset and balances restored. Not only did the attackers fail to profit, but they actually wound up losing out on the scam.

East v West

Regulatory stories have dominated the news cycle once again, and most of them were American. The tone coming from the west versus that from the east has been tangibly different. This week alone, Asia has brought us news of a South Korean travel site accepting a dozen cryptos as payment and a Taiwanese airline following suit. When was the last time we had a major U.S. or European retailer announce support for bitcoin? Instead of merchant adoption, all we seem to hear is pronouncements on how ICOs are liable for class action lawsuits and cryptocurrencies are commodities. But what about all the good things bitcoin did?

In fairness to regulators, they’re just doing their job, even if their overzealousness is causing investors to become more confused than ever about what exactly they’re buying into. The truth is, officials from competing agencies don’t know what to make of crypto, and until they can multilaterally reach a consensus, perhaps they should refrain from issuing contradictory decrees.

This Week in Bitcoin: Black Swans

If You Can’t Join Them, Beat Them

One of this week’s more popular stories concerned Paypal filing an “expedited cryptocurrency transaction system”. We’re starting to see this sort of

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