- Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI) to Increase for Second Consecutive Month to Annualized 2.4%- Highest Reading Since June 2014.
- USD/CAD[1] Initiates Bullish Series as Bank of Canada (BoC) Sticks to Wait-and-See Policy. Relative Strength Index (RSI) Breaks Out of Bearish Formation.
Trading the News: Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Another uptick in Canada’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) may derail the recent rebound in USD/CAD as it puts pressure on the Bank of Canada (BoC) to implement higher borrowing-costs sooner rather than later.
Recent comments from the BoC suggests the central bank remains in no rush to raise the benchmark interest rate as officials argue ‘some monetary policy accommodation will still be needed to keep inflation on target,’ but signs of heightening price pressures may push Governor Stephen Poloz and Co. to alter the outlook for monetary policy as ‘Some progress has been made on the key issues being watched closely by Governing Council, particularly the dynamics of inflation and wage growth.’
As a result, updates to the CPI may trigger a bullish reaction in the Canadian dollar[2] should the report boost bets for another BoC rate-hike in 2018. At the same time, a below-forecast inflation report may ultimately fuel the recent rebound in USD/CAD as it dampens bets for higher interest rates in Canada.
Impact that Canada CPI has had on USD/CAD during the previous release
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Period |
Data Released |
Estimate |
Actual |
Pips Change (1 Hour post event ) |
Pips Change (End of |
