Risk trends were remarkably sanguine this past week in the face of confirmed tariffs placed by the US and China on each other. Don’t expect risk trends or benchmark FX currencies to simply ignore the growing risks going forward.
See what live coverage is scheduled to cover key event risk for the FX and capital markets on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar[1].
US Dollar Forecast – Dollar Starts to Lose Traction as China Trade War Takes Effect, Next the World?[2]
The Dollar took a notable spill to close out this past week as employment data came in close to expectations, local capital markets (like the Dow) charged and tariffs on China went into effect. So what will guide the currency moving forward?
British Pound Forecast –Carney’s Hawkish Comments Obscured by Brexit Weekend Risk[3]
The British Pound[4] continued to bounce from a key support area this week, as driven by some positive comments from BoE Governor, Mark Carney. But a large cloud hangs over the currency as a key point in Brexit discussions takes place after today’s market close.
Australian Dollar Forecast –Australian Dollar To Benefit From Hopes That Worst Is Over[5]
The Australian Dollar’s comprehensive beating at the greenback’s hands may not be finished for the year, but we may see its ferocity slacken now.
Canadian Dollar Forecast – Canadian Dollar Could Be Undermined by Dovish BoC, Trade Spats[6]
The Canadian Dollar may fall if the BoC delivers a ‘dovish hike’. Donald Trump potentially retaliating to Justin Trudeau’s tariff counter measures adds more pressure to CAD[7] too.
