The Dow Jones[1], S&P 500[2] and Nasdaq[3] Composite roared to life this past week as a blowout jobs report defied even the least-dismal projection from economists. Over 2.5 million non-farm payroll positions were added versus -7.5m anticipated. The US unemployment rate even declined to 13.3% from 14.7% prior. Analysts were looking for an increase to 19.0%.
This meant a dreadful week for the haven-linked US Dollar[4] as it plunged to its average cheapest price since early March. The sentiment-linked Australian and New Zealand Dollars exploded higher, testing peaks set at the beginning of this year. Longer-term Treasury yields rose, reflecting rising confidence which weighed against anti-fiat gold prices[5].
For now fears of a second wave of the coronavirus and escalating US-China tensions have taken a back seat. All eyes next week turn to the Federal Reserve monetary policy announcement as nations around the world continue slowly lifting lockdown measures. The central bank’s main policy settings are anticipated to be left unchanged with traders eyeing economic assessments.
Crude oil prices[6] have the weekend OPEC+ meeting to catch support from as the commodity-producing cartel could extend record output curbs. Brexit talks also continue for the fate of the transition period. Traders may also look for signs of rising confidence at the end of the week when the world’s largest economy releases preliminary sentiment data for June.
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Fundamental Forecasts:
Euro Forecast: Outlook for EUR/USD Still Bullish, More Stimulus Planned[8]
The European Commission’s proposed €750 billion recovery package for the EU economy will be on the agenda this coming week, likely keeping EUR/USD[9] on an
