SwanBitcoin445X250

Technical Outlook:

  • GBP/USD[1] breaking out above resistance
  • EUR/USD[2] rising in near-term channel formation
  • DXY[3] working lower towards big retest of long-term support
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GBP[4]/USD[5] is doing its best to hold onto prior resistance turned support around the 13000 level, which also happens to be the neckline of an inverse head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern. Maintain above support and we could see price swing back up towards the 2007 trend-line where the most recent high was near 13500.

GBP/USD Daily Chart (inverse H&S)

GBP/USD daily chart

GBP/USD Chart by TradingView[6]

GBP/USD Weekly Chart (~13500 is a big spot)

GBP/USD weekly chart

GBP/USD Chart by TradingView[7]

EUR[8]/USD is working its way higher in a near-term channel best seen on the 4-hr chart. Whether it can sustain, from a technical perspective, hinges on whether it stays in the channel or can break outside of it. To accelerate back towards 12000 or higher we will of course need to it to pick up steam out of the structure. A breakdown below the lower parallel could spell trouble as it may mark the end of corrective bounce that leads to a leg lower.

EUR/USD 4-hr Chart (rising in channel)

EUR/USD 4-hr chart

EUR/USD Chart by TradingView[9]

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading off towards a big level of support. It actually started as far back as 1998 and became a horizontal level that came in and out of play over the years. Most recently it helped forge a low along with the 2011 trend-line. The trend-line only has the bare minimum connecting points to make it a trend-line, but the fact that it has a parallel that has been in play numerous times in recent years helps strengthen it. 91.75 is ultimately the

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