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Brexit Talks

The GBP to USD price rallied as the market reflected on the optimistic outlook of the UK economy ahead of the reopening. The GBP/USD pair rose to 1.3840, which was 1.15% above the lowest level in March.

GBP to USD
GBP to USD chart

Sterling steady on UK progress

The British pound has been relatively resilient than other developed country currencies. This year, it has risen by more than 2% while the dollar index has risen by more than 3.50%. The euro has lost close to 4% during this period.

There are several reasons for this price action. First, the UK reached a breakthrough Brexit deal with the European Union in December. This averted a catastrophic crash from the European Union, which is the country’s biggest trading partner.

Second, the Bank of England (BOE) has sounded relatively hawkish in the past interest rate decisions. In several statements, Governor Andrew Bailey has voiced concerns of negative rates. He believes that they will have a negative impact on the country’s banks, which are leading employers.

Finally, the UK has made a lot of progress on vaccinations. According to the government, more than 29 million people have received a shot. This is a substantial figure considering that the country has a population of more than 60 million. Therefore, according to Boris Johnson, the country will reopen soon. 

Further, the GBP to USD has reacted positively to recent economic numbers. The UK unemployment rate has dropped to 5.0% because of the furlough program. In contrast, the rate in Europe is about 8.1% while the US has an unemployment rate of 6.2%. On Friday, data showed that the UK retail sales rose by 2.1% in February.

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