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Oil & Gas Talking Points:

  • Crude oil prices[1] finds support as supply constraints cap losses
  • Rising energy prices weigh on European policymakers as consumers fear higher prices, carbon dioxide shortages (CO2) and a cold winter
  • Inflation[2], FOMC[3] Economic Projections and the BoE rate decision[4] remains at the forefront of risk sentiment

A range of fundamental factors[5] continue to weigh on the commodity sector[6], affecting prices for both oil[7] and gas[8] which have risen sharply throughout the year.

Although both the Federal Reserve[9] and the European Central Bank (ECB)[10] have continued to maintain a dovish stance throughout the global Covid-19 pandemic, rising commodity prices have raised fears that inflation may not be ‘transitory’, placing this week’s interest rate decision by the world’s two largest economies at the forefront of risk-sentiment.

Oil Price Forecast: WTI Crude Oil Prices Test Support – Key Levels to Watch

DailyFX Economic Calendar[11]

However, supply bottlenecks were further exacerbated by disruptions in the production of WTI as oil[12] producers off the Gulf of Mexico struggle to recover from the detrimental damages caused by Hurricane Ida.

Read about How Crude Oil Prices React to Weather-Induced Disruptions Fears[13]

Meanwhile, the pandemic and a rise in natural disasters have caused European policymakers to shift their focus towards fighting climate change, forcing producers and suppliers of non-renewable energy to pay higher costs which have seen gas prices surge by approximately 280% this year.

Oil Price Forecast: WTI Crude Oil Prices Test Support – Key Levels to Watch

Source: Refinitiv

US Crude Oil (WTI) Prices – Key Levels to Watch

After rebounding off of the August low ($61.70), oil supply shortages supported the strong rebound in crude oil prices, allowing bulls to temporarily drive prices higher.

However, after facing

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