Gold, US Dollar (USD) Talking Points:
- Gold prices[1] linger despite escalating tensions between Ukraine & Russia
- Interest rate expectations [2] and an aggressive Fed may impede further Bullion gains
- XAU/USD [3] awaits the release of the highly anticipated US CPI print
Russia-Ukraine tensions intensify, Gold holds steady
Gold prices[4] are currently trading with listless momentum despite intensifying tensions between Russia and the Ukraine and escalating fears of an invasion.
Although high inflation rates and increasing geopolitical risks have recently underpinned Bullion prices, the increasing probability of higher rates and rising yields have limited further gains, forcing bulls into a wall of resistance, formed by key Fibonacci levels[5] of historical moves.
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As employment[8] and inflation[9] remain the two core metrics for the Federal Reserve, the release of a surprisingly optimistic NFP[10] report on Friday now places US inflation data at the forefront of risk sentiment, posing as an additional catalyst for Gold prices.
DailyFX economic calendar[11]
Gold Price Analysis
As Gold prices aim for their second consecutive week of gains, key Fibonacci levels from both the 2020 and 2021 moves continue to provide both support and resistance[12] for the yellow metal.
With bulls now attempting to break through the 50% retracement of the 2021 move at $1,818, the next hurdle resides at the next key Fib level of $1,833 which then leaves the door open for a move towards $1,852.
Gold (XAU/USD[13]) Weekly Chart
Chart prepared by Tammy Da Costa[14] using TradingView
Meanwhile on the daily time-frame, the potential formation
